Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 244.471084 275.519891 309.949217 351.128044 399.260988 454.009146 521.372778
2025-04-27 204.284981 246.629082 297.801862 364.913662 451.674877 561.539598 713.600287
2025-05-04 178.055420 224.410250 283.570315 365.964766 479.949626 635.459364 869.769022
2025-05-11 155.720224 202.749740 265.324368 356.654711 490.004435 683.340002 996.166152
2025-05-18 139.218823 186.226956 250.992556 349.363694 499.860371 730.098468 1127.481597
2025-05-25 131.135558 180.059872 249.796451 359.977437 536.648132 822.231185 1349.721333
2025-06-01 121.322953 170.203596 241.865531 358.894152 554.200355 885.343503 1534.912582
2025-06-08 111.590323 159.431045 231.273294 351.994206 560.635723 929.721421 1694.343380
2025-06-15 104.863118 152.517176 225.789742 352.457876 579.221013 998.127128 1916.757825
2025-06-22 97.226236 143.512783 216.094073 344.591118 581.604834 1036.085216 2083.735489
2025-06-29 91.801549 137.538248 210.698450 343.411578 595.873469 1099.246391 2323.021704
2025-07-06 84.548267 128.075134 198.737544 329.277683 583.467114 1105.648062 2428.818494
2025-07-13 82.513544 127.115127 201.183303 341.929001 626.169325 1238.371119 2896.934927
2025-07-20 80.845743 126.636412 204.412908 356.450227 675.094662 1395.801227 3491.703448
2025-07-27 77.213217 122.515066 200.822165 357.337011 695.167056 1489.997594 3940.592565
2025-08-03 72.476935 116.150701 192.676900 348.310608 692.125206 1526.887497 4225.849321
2025-08-10 68.424157 110.725051 185.837446 341.227092 692.493405 1572.671735 4559.749409
2025-08-17 66.986790 109.847719 187.356348 351.536211 734.792934 1738.947224 5393.848802
2025-08-24 64.223849 106.386692 183.703798 350.484109 749.661501 1832.966715 6004.832439
2025-08-31 60.999041 101.883849 177.720462 343.782420 749.591079 1883.971711 6468.997820
2025-09-07 58.829018 99.204999 175.100309 344.232794 767.789838 1994.250757 7251.057857
2025-09-14 55.923239 94.982267 169.137294 336.591058 763.811120 2034.781069 7737.986882
2025-09-21 53.900124 92.321970 166.131644 335.445157 777.125740 2134.777491 8580.722996